Sunday, May 22, 2005

The Confusions of the British No Campaign

If the French vote No, that will boost the British No campaign analyses The Observer. Even in this situation, the No campaign wants to pressure the government to launch a referendum on the Treaty. According to the article, the tactic of the No campaign is to rally beyond the traditionalists Tory eurosceptics and attract figures of the left: Labour MPs, Trade Unionists, and Greens . They already claim that a majority of British is against the Treaty. However, It could rapidly appears that this kind of alliance ends up in being unworkable: 83 of the 86 European Trade Unions are in favour of the Treaty, the majority of the European Union Green parties are also pro-Yes as well as the environmental pressure groups working in the European Parliament, moreover the credibility of Labour MPs hanging around with Conservatives (without talking about Kilroy and his friends) might be affected. Therefore, the dynamic of the No campaign could stop as soon as the divergences in the motivations will be put into the light.

Update: Interesting enough, Christopher Booker from the Sunday Telegraph had more or less the same analysis over the No campaign:

"At the head of the No camp is an uneasy alliance between the Tories and a cross-party group set up by the people who formed Business for Sterling, which campaigned effectively against the euro. The weakness of their platform is their almost comical determination to show that they have nothing against Britain's membership of the EU as such, but only oppose the constitution. This will involve them in wondrous contortions, as they try to distinguish between those bits of the constitution that are new and those that are simply carried over from previous treaties. The result can be as embarrassing as the young No spokesman's reply to Jeremy Paxman, when he stammered: "I don't think anyone in the No campaign is against there being a constitution.""